Recent price action on the EUR/USD H4 chart points to a key turning point, with a Bullish White Swan harmonic pattern emerging after a sharp correction from the 1.20 zone. This structure is typically associated with trend continuation or reversal after a deep pullback, offering traders a tactical long opportunity if support holds.
In this analysis, we break down the pattern mechanics, key levels, and practical trade setups.
Trend Overview: From Rally to Correction
The EUR/USD experienced a strong bullish impulse that peaked close to 1.2080–1.2100, followed by an aggressive selloff that pushed price back into the 1.1780–1.1820 region.
This correction did not fully break the broader bullish structure, but it created:
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A deep retracement
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A compression zone
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A harmonic completion region near support
This sets up the market for a potential bullish continuation, especially if buyers defend the current demand zone.
Decoding the Bullish White Swan Pattern (H4)
Pattern Detected:
Bullish White Swan (.5 / .707 / 2.236 / .618)
This is a less common harmonic formation, but it’s powerful because it typically appears after:
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A sharp move down
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A final “flush” into liquidity
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A rebound that begins to rebuild structure
Fibonacci Structure (as displayed in the chart)
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Retracement 0.382: ~1.1864
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Retracement 0.618: ~1.1792
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Retracement 0.786: ~1.1744
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Retracement 0.886: ~1.1724
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White Swan 0.707: ~1.1664
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White Swan 0.786: ~1.1674
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White Swan 0.618: ~1.1767
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White Swan 0.447: ~1.1772
O gráfico também marca um nível de referência:
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Ref D (0): ~1.1827
Ou seja: o padrão sugere que o mercado já reagiu do fundo e está tentando sustentar uma reversão.
Key Levels & Price Action Insights
Demand / Support Zones (High Probability)
✅ 1.1790 – 1.1765
Região principal de defesa do padrão (zona de reação do White Swan)
✅ 1.1745 – 1.1720
Última defesa antes de invalidar a estrutura
🔻 1.1675 – 1.1660
Extensão mais profunda do White Swan (zona de “flush”)
Resistance Zones (Targets)
📌 1.1827 – 1.1864
Primeiro teto técnico + retração intermediária
📌 1.1900 – 1.1950
Zona de equilíbrio da queda (área de oferta)
📌 1.2000 – 1.2080
Topo anterior e alvo macro do movimento
Risk Management & Trading Strategies
Strategy 1 — Aggressive Long (Best R:R)
Entrada:
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Compra em pullback entre 1.1792 e 1.1767
Stop Loss:
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Abaixo de 1.1720 (ideal: 1.1710)
Take Profits:
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TP1: 1.1827
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TP2: 1.1864
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TP3: 1.1950
Strategy 2 — Conservative Long (Confirmation)
Para quem prefere confirmação:
Entrada:
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Somente após rompimento e fechamento acima de 1.1864
Stop:
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Abaixo de 1.1820
Alvos:
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1.1950 e 1.2000+
Scenario of Invalidation (Bearish Continuation)
O padrão perde força se:
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O preço perder 1.1720
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E especialmente se romper 1.1660
Nesse caso, o mercado tende a entrar em continuação de baixa, voltando para suportes anteriores do H4.
Conclusion: Tactical Long Opportunity on EUR/USD H4
The EUR/USD H4 chart currently offers a structured bullish setup through a Bullish White Swan harmonic pattern, suggesting that the correction from the 1.20 highs may be ending.
With the key support zone holding between 1.1790–1.1765, the market has room to retest 1.1864, and potentially extend toward 1.1950 if bullish momentum returns.
However, discipline is crucial: a clean break below 1.1720 would invalidate the bullish thesis and signal renewed downside.
